iPhone 18 Air Maintains a Conservative Display Strategy… COE Adoption Delayed

Samsung and LG will dominate the iPhone 18 Air supply chain as it retains existing panels, while BOE’s entry with COE tech is expected after 2028. (Created by Google Gemini 3)
The iPhone 18 Air, scheduled for release in the second half of 2026, is reportedly being developed with the same OLED panel used in its predecessor, the iPhone 17 Air. Rather than changing the panel itself, Apple is leaning toward a strategy that replaces only part of the module while reusing the existing panel. The fact that inventory of the previous-generation panels still remains is also believed to have influenced this decision.
Specification changes are likewise expected to focus more on usability improvements than on a full overhaul of display specifications. Industry sources suggest that the iPhone 18 Air will feature a dual-camera setup and increased speaker capacity. As a result, the Air model is likely to enhance overall product appeal by optimizing key components, without undergoing major structural changes.
This approach is closely linked to the timeline for adopting COE (Color on Encapsulation) technology. While COE application had previously been discussed for iPhones around 2027, current expectations point to a delay, pushing adoption to 2028 or later. In particular, the iPhone 17 Air series reportedly recorded annual panel shipments only slightly above 10 million units—the lowest volume among the iPhone lineup—making early adoption of new processes and technologies a potential burden. Given the limited volume of the Air series, prioritizing stable supply and cost efficiency over taking early process-transition risks appears to be a natural decision.
The panel supply chain is expected to remain centered on Samsung Display and LG Display, as in previous years. OLED panels for the iPhone 18 Air are likely to be supplied by Samsung Display and LG Display, while BOE is widely seen as having a low likelihood of entering the supply chain at this stage. BOE is preparing to supply Apple OLED panels with COE applied from 2028 onward, and accordingly, expectations are that BOE’s participation in supplying panels for the Air series would also come after 2028 at the earliest.
Changes in the launch strategy are also drawing attention. Starting with the iPhone 18, the “normal” model is expected to move away from the traditional simultaneous fall launch alongside other models. Instead, it is likely to be released together with the iPhone e series in the first half of the following year, with two models launching simultaneously. By reorganizing the lineup on a semiannual basis, Apple appears to be aiming to spread demand more evenly and improve efficiency in production and inventory management across models.
Junho Kim, Analyst at UBI Research (alertriot@ubiresearch.com)
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